Michigan and Pennsylvania looking good.
March 12th, 2008 at 06:24pm Matt DiBari
As Captain Ed Morrissey notes, John McCain is surging in Michigan and Pennsylvania. Ed thinks it may be due to the tough campaign, but I think Pennsylvania and especially Michigan may just be finally learning who Barack Obama is. Winning these states would be absolutely huge for McCain and a big blow to Obama. Like a number of us have been saying on the blogs over the last couple of days, if the McCain campaign can continue to successfully paint Obama as an out of the mainstream fringe liberal who is wrong on just about everything, but specifically national security and taxes, the independents, conservative democrats and moderates will be more than enough to push McCain over the top.
Entry Filed under: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, John McCain
15 Comments
1. Geoff | March 12th, 2008 at 7:51 pm
Sen. McCain’s favorable position in those two states at the moment only re-enforces the contention that Sen. Obama has limited appeal among blue-collar Democrats, i.e. Reagan Democrats. The controversy over sitting or not sitting Michigan’s delegates to the Democratic National Convention isn’t helping Sen. Obama or Clinton in that state either.
2. Matt DiBari (Mattpat11) | March 12th, 2008 at 8:08 pm
That’s actually a really good point Geoff. I wasn’t even thinking about the delegates, but I’m sure that does factor in.
3. Blogs For Victory »&hellip | March 13th, 2008 at 3:19 am
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4. smokeydental1 | March 13th, 2008 at 4:40 am
I find it interesting that the super delegates decided on early primaries which led to this disenfranchisement of voters. Now the super delegate vote has more impact.
5. Magnum Serpentine | March 13th, 2008 at 7:26 am
Its up to the people, in the end. And I believe you are overlooking the fact that the majority of the Nation are tired of the Republicans in office and want to see a change.
6. Retired Spook | March 13th, 2008 at 8:55 am
Just to give you an idea of the dynamic that those two states represents, they control 38 Electoral College votes or 7% of the total of 538. Had George Bush won both Michigan and Pennsylvania in 2004, it would have changed the final result from Bush 286 - Kerry 251 to Bush 324 - Kerry 213.
If McCain wins either one or both of those 2 states, it becomes almost a physical impossibility for his Dem opponent (regardless of which one it is) to win the election.
7. Michigan And Pennsylvania&hellip | March 13th, 2008 at 9:43 am
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8. Joisey | March 13th, 2008 at 10:42 am
PA has a lot of white, blue-collar democrats once you get out of Philly. These people are NOT ‘new progressives’. They arent socialists. They are very pro-American, patriotic, and pro-defense. Many are veterans. I like to think of them more as FDR democrats, not the wussified modern democrat. And McCain appeals to this group in a major way.
I’ve never for a minute believed that Obama would have mass appeal here in PA outside of Philly.
9. NJ McCain | March 13th, 2008 at 3:17 pm
I love hearing the word “change” come out of Democrat mouths. Unfortunately, I have yet to hear its definition. Magnum, might you clarify?
10. Geoff | March 13th, 2008 at 4:16 pm
“Change” is not desirable in itself. The “change” Sen. Obama and Clinton offer is not positive change, but a simple reincarnation of the failed liberal policies and programs of the Lyndon Johnson era.
11. Matt DiBari (Mattpat11) | March 13th, 2008 at 6:24 pm
When “change” is just a code word for a dangerously naive foreign policy and failed big government domestic policies, people tend to turn against it.
12. Geoff | March 13th, 2008 at 7:18 pm
Only if they are convinced that that is what “change” is a code word for.
13. Matt DiBari (Mattpat11) | March 13th, 2008 at 7:42 pm
Its John McCain’s job to convince them. I think he can do it.
14. Geoff | March 13th, 2008 at 10:08 pm
I believe he can too. It helps that he has a head start of at least a month or so, and that Sen. Clinton herself is taking care of the job of taking on Sen. Obama at the moment. Sen. McCain is now free to tour the hotspots around the globe and really assert his presidential credentials.
15. Sarah | March 13th, 2008 at 11:18 pm
It just occurred to me that, at least at this point, “change” must mean something like ‘HyperSpace’. Hmmm…that’s disturbing.